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MANITOBA VOTES: Liberals big losers in election so far: Probe poll

WINNIPEG SUN

FIRST POSTED: FRIDAY, SEPTEMBER 30, 2011 10:31 AM CDT | UPDATED: FRIDAY, SEPTEMBER 30, 2011 10:59 AM CDT

Liberal support is "bleeding" into the NDP and PCs, a new poll from Probe Research indicates.

The poll also says none of the parties have much momentum, only days before the Oct. 4 election.

Out of 1,000 surveyed, 46% said they'd vote NDP, compared to 43% who plan to vote PC, 7% who plan to vote Liberal, and 4% who plan to vote Green.

In Winnipeg the NDP is stronger, at 53%, followed by 35% PC, 7% Liberal and 3% Greens. And outside of the capital the PCs take it at 54%, compared to 34% NDP, 5% Liberal, 5% Greens.

Probe's "momentum" score for each party compares voters who say their opinion of a party has improved versus those who say their opinion of the party has worsened.

All three parties have negative scores - NDP (-9%), PCs (-4%) and Liberals (-2%) - compared to the beginning of the campaign.

Compared to last election, meanwhile, the Liberals are hemorrhaging, dropping from 15% to 7% overall. And while PC and NDP supporters are about 60% sure they'll vote for their party of choice, would-be Liberal voters are only 35% certain.

A third of Manitoba adults polled did not know who they would vote for Tuesday.

Probe also found the tightest races come in southwest and northwest Winnipeg. The NDP have a small lead in the southeast and are oustripping the opposition in northeast Winnipeg and the core area.

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WINNIPEG SUN

FIRST POSTED: FRIDAY, SEPTEMBER 30, 2011 12:32 PM CDT | UPDATED: FRIDAY, SEPTEMBER 30, 2011 12:38 PM CDT

Manitoba's NDP says the health care of all Manitobans is under threat from the Progressive Conservatives.

Leader Greg Selinger took that message to a group of concerned seniors and members of the public at Bethel Home on Stafford Street today, with just days left before Tuesday's vote.

"The last time the PCs were in charge they fired nurses, drove away doctors, charged fees for home care, and even tried to privatize home care. We can't go back to those days," said local resident Louise Plamondon.

Selinger said in a release that McFadyen has only budgeted to hire half the nurses he has promised during the election campaign.

"As I talk to Manitobans this campaign, one message is coming through loud and clear: we can't let the PCs get their hands on our health care," he said.

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WINNIPEG SUN

FIRST POSTED: WEDNESDAY, SEPTEMBER 28, 2011 08:40 AM CDT | UPDATED: WEDNESDAY, SEPTEMBER 28, 2011 06:29 PM CDT

Premier Greg Selinger called it "a very shady tactic" for his rival Tories to create an attack website whose address clearly mimics the NDP's own legitimate site.

But a Progressive Conservative spokeswoman said the site is fair game and suggested the NDP could have made a simple $15 investment to protect the domain name.

While visiting www.todaysndp.ca will get you the Manitoba NDP's official site, a trip to www.todaysndp.com will result in a much different experience, where visitors will see a video attack ad and a long list of what the Tories consider the NDP's failures in government.

"I think it's obviously a very shady tactic," Selinger said Wednesday.

"Bottom line for me is it shows they're willing to be unethical to win the election. We'll let the voters decide what they think is appropriate."

The NDP maintains a website targeting Tory Leader Hugh McFadyen at www.knowhugh.ca.

Marni Larkin, the campaign manager for the provincial Tories, said her party is simply capitalizing on something the NDP really should have thought of.

"It's all fair. They didn't protect it. I think I paid about $15 for it. Anybody could have purchased it. I think it was a slip on their part," Larkin said.

"It's to tell the truth about what's really gone on. People forget these guys have been in power for 12 years."

The site went live about 10 days ago.

Larkin said she believes most of the traffic up to now has been from people who hit it accidentally while looking for the real NDP site, but that deliberate visits have started to rise now that "a couple of hundred thousand" postcards advertising the web address have begun to turn up in mailboxes across the province, the result of a direct mail campaign by the Tories.

THE BATTLE OF THE BEEFS:

Site: www.todaysndp.com

Maintained by: Tories

Tag line: "Greg Selinger and the NDP, a record of broken promises."

Features: Attack ad video, and clickable drop-down menu of eight areas highlighting NDP government "failures".

Images: Blue-green algae, flooded farmland, a stressed out student and an empty wallet.

Typical line: "It's time we ended the era of broken promises. You deserve better."

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Site: www.knowhugh.ca

Maintained by: NDP

Tag line: "Hugh McFadyen still doesn't get what matters to Manitoba families."

Features: Attack ad video, stills from the "Know Hugh" TV ads with summaries of each topic, an e-mail form to send McFadyen a message, and links to Facebook and Twitter.

Images: A fired nurse, pollution, and a hard hat that's just been in an accident.

Typical line: "We know Hugh would let more e-coli and urine into our rivers and lakes."



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